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Since early 2023, countries in Southern Europe have seen strong declines in unemployment, while those in the north have seen increases. This is helping eurozone convergence, adding to tighter ...
Yesterday's US inflation data was... mixed. Headline CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exactly as expected, pushing the annual rate up to 2.7% from 2.4% in the prior month. But core inflation came in ...
Bank Indonesia’s rate cut today surprised markets, but the overnight announcement of a trade deal with Indonesia by President Trump likely provided the confidence needed to proceed without delay. We c ...
The trade deal between the US and Vietnam boosted oil prices. However, with OPEC+ set to decide on August output levels, the ...
Donald Trump continued his tariff reveals over the weekend, announcing that the EU and Mexico would be hit with 30% tariffs from August 1st. That's far more than what the EU expected — they were ...
UK markets are beginning to price in the possibility that a new Chancellor could change the fiscal rules and loosen Britain's ...
Today's FX market focus is squarely on the June US jobs report. Does a consensus +110k release provide cover for Fed Chair ...
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Back end vulnerabilities. While there's been a material rate-cut-driven fall in US market rates, there are some risks ahead ...
Rally in most major indices across Europe and the US paused yesterday, as Trump-driven optimism began to sour under the rocky ...
US manufacturing continues to struggle, amidst signs of jobs resilience. The ISM manufacturing index remains in contraction ...
Is the first CNB rate hike closer than we think? Friday's inflation data poses an upside risk but the market remains unfazed.