In our October 2023 working paper, we (and our co-author Gaobo Pang) explain, justify, and show the results of our macroeconomic projection model of the U.S. economy and federal budget. We argue that ...

Recent Treasury Department projections reveal that the proposed “Trump accounts” for American children could potentially grow to as much as $1.9 million over their lifetime, based on investment ...

As spring training inches closer and an offseason of discontent mercifully comes to an end, it’s a good time to start projecting how this Boston Red Sox team might fare this season. We took a stab at ...

Projection can undermine your sense of self. Source: Vitaly Gariev/Unsplash Lately, your partner has been coming home several hours late from work and doesn’t answer your text or call. You notice they ...