Every year, the Preventive Priorities Survey asks experts to rank thirty conflict scenarios in terms of likelihood and potential impact. This year’s results paint a picture of a more violent and ...

A short flare-up, a grinding two-month confrontation or a doomsday escalation – each possible path of the Iran war carries very different risks for Africa’s economy and diplomacy.

(Adds Hariri proposal) May 8 (Reuters) - Lebanon's worst internal crisis since the 1975-90 civil war escalated sharply this week when the U.S.-backed government took decisions aimed at Hezbollah that ...

Using the macroeconomic data as a foundation and considering recent developments in the tariff conflict, we propose two stress-test scenario assumptions. To ensure that the correlation matrix used in ...

New study by Bloomberg Intelligence and Bloomberg Economics looks at the impact of four scenarios in the context of the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict A prolonged direct conflict between Israel and ...

Investors must diversify aggressively and hedge thoughtfully. Hope for peace - but prepare realistically for ongoing chaos. Some mornings you wake up to coffee. Other mornings, you wake up to Brent ...

In the middle of an ongoing conflict, it's difficult — if not impossible — to understand the true human cost of war. Casualties go uncounted and injuries untreated as fighting rages on, leaving an ...

Graph models have emerged as a pivotal framework in the analysis of strategic conflicts and the development of decision support systems. These models represent conflicts as networks, where nodes ...

Some of the most advanced warplanes ever built never fought the conflicts they were designed to win. They were shaped around specific nightmare scenarios, only for strategy, technology, or politics to ...