JSTOR Daily

When Trees Grow Too Long: Investigating the Causes of Highly Inaccurate Bayesian Branch-Length Estimates

A surprising number of recent Bayesian phylogenetic analyses contain branch-length estimates that are several orders of magnitude longer than corresponding maximum-likelihood estimates. The levels of ...
AlphaGalileo

Bayesian Spatial Modeling Enhances Precision of Forest Biomass Estimation

A research team introduces a hierarchical Bayesian spatial approach that integrates UAV and terrestrial LiDAR data to ...
JSTOR Daily

Bayesian selection of misspecified models is overconfident and may cause spurious posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees

The Bayesian method is noted to produce spuriously high posterior probabilities for phylogenetic trees in analysis of large datasets, but the precise reasons for this overconfidence are unknown. In ...
Investopedia

Understanding Prior Probability in Bayesian Statistics

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...
Scientific American

What is Bayes's theorem, and how can it be used to assign probabilities to questions such as the existence of God? What scientific value does it have?

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...